Tim’s Tax News on the Tenth – May 2022

Timothy M. Hughes • May 10, 2022

The IRS’ Tax Gap Estimates Should be Coming Out Soon

A magnifying glass with the word taxes written on it


The Internal Revenue Service periodically estimates the tax gap to gauge historical overall compliance of all types of taxpayers with their federal tax obligations. The Gross Tax Gap is the difference between the amount of tax owed by taxpayers for a given year and the amount that is actually paid timely for that same year. It represents, in dollar terms, an estimate of the annual amount of non-compliance with our tax laws.

 

In general, the IRS’ tax gap estimates dating back decades consistently show the United States enjoys a relatively high and stable voluntary tax compliance rate. Sustaining and improving taxpayer compliance is important because small declines in compliance cost the nation billions of dollars in lost revenue and shift the tax burden away from those who do not pay their taxes onto those who pay their fair share on time every year. Understanding the elements of the tax gap enables policymakers and tax administrators to make better decisions regarding how to allocate resources used to administer the tax code. All initiatives by the IRS to improve tax collection are intended to narrow the tax gap and increase compliance.


The most recent IRS study of the tax gap was in 2019 and was an estimate for tax years 2011, 2012, and 2013. (See chart below.) That report showed the nation's tax compliance rate was substantially unchanged from prior years. The average gross tax gap was estimated at $441 billion per year based on data from those three years. After late payments and enforcement efforts were factored in, the net tax gap was estimated at $381 billion.


The IRS’ revised tax gap estimates translate to about an 83.6%, of taxes paid voluntarily and on time, which is in line with recent levels. That percentage is essentially unchanged from a revised Tax Year 2008-2010 estimate of 83.8%. After enforcement efforts are taken into account, the estimated share of taxes eventually paid is 85.8% for both periods. And that percentage is in line with the TY 2001 estimate of 83.7% and the TY 2006 estimate of 82.3%.


The voluntary compliance rate has been relatively stable from the pre Great Recession time period through the Great Recession and for the few years after. It will be interesting to see the impact of Covid-19 on later years’ studies.

 

If you would like more details, please do not hesitate to call our office. Our office has been successful in helping taxpayers with IRS and IDOR collection problems for over 29 years. If you have a tax or debt problem, please contact me at 847-705-9698 or thughes@lavellelaw.com and find out how we can help you.


Are you receiving the Lavelle Law eNewsletter? Sign up today and receive valuable updates and perspectives on a wide range of legal issues: http://bit.ly/3bu7KXj


Lavelle Law, Ltd. is registered with the Illinois Department of Financial and Professional Regulation as an approved continuing education provider for CPE for CPAs and Enrolled Agents. If your organization is seeking CPE courses in the area of Business Law, Innocent Spouse Relief, IRS Collections, Tax Scams (including ID Theft), or other areas in tax law that can be taught at your office, please contact me at thughes@lavellelaw.com


A poster showing tax gap estimates for tax years 2011-2013

More News & Resources

Lavelle Law News and Events

Steven Migala
By Lavelle Law January 8, 2026
In the News: Elgin Area Chamber announces attorney Steven A. Migala as 2026 board chair.
Lavelle Law Secures Emergency Guardianship and Protects a Vulnerable Mother from Exploitation
By Litigation January 8, 2026
Success Story: Lavelle Law secures emergency guardianship and protects a vulnerable mother from exploitation in unique and challenging case.
Dealerships should disclose the use of website consumer tracking tools &  implement proper consents.
By Sarah J. Reusché and Mitchell J. Parker January 5, 2026
If you are an auto dealer concerned about the risk of facing class action litigation from the use of consumer tracking technology, it is important that you fully understand the data-collection and consumer tracking tools in use on your website and take the proper steps to minimize your risk.
Happy New Year from Near and Far and Lavelle Law!
By Lavelle Law December 31, 2025
Happy New Year! As we say farewell to 2025, we’re excited to look back on some cool travel destinations of our Koozie Challenge - from fiery volcanoes in Guatemala to icy glaciers in Alaska! A big thank you to our family and friends who took part in the fun. We wish you a happy and adventurous new year!
Over 280 New Illinois Laws are going into effect in 2026.
By Lavelle Law December 19, 2025
Over 280 New Illinois Laws are going into effect in 2026. We have listed and summarized some that may have a significant impact on you or your business.
IRS Issues Guidance on Trump Accounts Established Under the Working Families Tax Cuts
By Timothy M. Hughes December 10, 2025
The Department of the Treasury and the Internal Revenue Service recently issued a notice announcing upcoming regulations and providing guidance regarding Trump Accounts, which are a new type of individual retirement account (IRA) for eligible children.
Consider this two-part test when finding the right attorney or law firm.
By Kerry M. Lavelle December 9, 2025
How do you choose the right attorney or law firm for your needs? Attorney Kerry Lavelle has refined his answer to this common question into a clear, two-part test - one that helps individuals and businesses identify legal representation that is both highly competent and truly client-focused.
IL Condominium Law: Updates, HOA Strategies, & Financing Insights - a presentation recording
November 24, 2025
Daday and Kish discussed the essentials of Illinois condominium and common interest community association law. The presentation highlighted recent legal updates impacting HOA operations and addressed key issues in collections and safeguarding the financial interests of the association.
Understanding Grandparent Visitation Rights in Illinois
By Elizabeth C. Thompson November 19, 2025
While Illinois law recognizes that grandparents can play a vital role in a child’s life, it also strongly defers to the rights of parents. A grandparent seeking visitation must overcome a high legal threshold and demonstrate that denial of contact would likely harm the child’s well-being.
Behind the Scenes of Our 2025 Food Drive Delivery Day!
By Lavelle Law Charities November 17, 2025
The 2025 Lavelle Law Charities Food Drive wrapped up excitingly on October 24, 2025! After weeks of heartfelt community giving, Lavelle Law team members personally delivered an enormous haul to the Schaumburg Township Food Pantry.
More Posts